Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 70.019335 78.898603 88.017374 98.050935 108.750525 119.790120 132.012460
2025-01-26 58.653364 71.635265 85.582443 101.554439 119.217536 138.040869 159.505923
2025-02-02 51.589186 66.920723 83.942292 103.983949 126.691702 151.399339 180.097445
2025-02-09 44.233914 60.867350 79.924364 102.944591 129.598190 159.127755 193.966182
2025-02-16 38.293070 55.770017 76.394995 101.895719 131.991217 165.857159 206.341925
2025-02-23 34.310024 52.611442 74.785587 102.756886 136.302646 174.537930 220.736535
2025-03-02 30.456739 49.233067 72.592033 102.639481 139.230961 181.440896 232.946596
2025-03-09 27.463315 46.683389 71.192596 103.284577 142.901639 189.083773 245.917682
2025-03-16 24.086023 43.311739 68.501639 102.115496 144.205613 193.802776 255.368720
2025-03-23 22.172508 41.789451 68.069161 103.671313 148.750269 202.313510 269.242408
2025-03-30 20.567072 40.561091 67.915834 105.496906 153.567003 211.114378 283.445991
2025-04-06 18.122647 37.881280 65.640084 104.437629 154.675475 215.358169 292.162529
2025-04-13 15.434790 34.605968 62.392696 101.999354 153.993034 217.419280 298.307451
2025-04-20 14.831181 34.567868 63.662098 105.565423 160.968067 228.896791 315.863004
2025-04-27 13.972445 34.030465 64.161870 108.055988 166.541319 238.641990 331.331921
2025-05-04 12.223450 31.830103 62.123701 106.991497 167.440723 242.541695 339.652818
2025-05-11 10.652096 29.762405 60.154111 105.917775 168.247962 246.268915 347.722044
2025-05-18 9.693820 28.696270 59.623687 106.799406 171.592259 253.160195 359.675034
2025-05-25 8.601796 27.254493 58.430435 106.679215 173.561311 258.287623 369.437047
2025-06-01 7.771360 26.224253 57.816757 107.339613 176.542468 264.682839 380.767844
2025-06-08 6.665036 24.485122 55.972001 106.142774 176.964928 267.776413 387.964918
2025-06-15 6.158885 23.954258 56.053090 107.735504 181.158449 275.700852 401.206933
2025-06-22 5.737443 23.559919 56.331822 109.604134 185.724270 284.110618 415.074598